Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Comparing 2010 with 1994.

Democratic US House Seats that went Republican in 1994.
1)AZ-1(Coppersmith)- became AZ-6 after 2002 redistricting.
2)AZ-6(English) became AZ-5 after 2002 redistricting. Democrats won back seat in 2006.
3)CA-1(Hamburg) Democrats won back seat in 1998- Safe Democratic.
4)CA-19(Lehman)
5)CA-49(Schenk)became CA-53 after 2002 redistricting- Democrats won back seat in 2000- Safe Democratic.
6)FL-1(Hutto)
7)FL-15(Bacchus)
8)GA-7(Darden)-
9)GA-8(Rowland)- Democrats won back seat in 2002-
10)GA-10(Johnson)
11)ID-1(LaRocco)- Democrats won back seat in 2008 defeating a weak freshman Republican incumbent.
12)IL-5(Rostenkowski)- Democrats won back seat in 1996- held by Blagojevich,Emanuel,now Quigley-won yesterday.
13)IL-11(Sangmeister)-Democrats won back seat in 2008.
14)IN-2(Sharpe)- became IN-6 after 2002 redistricting.
15)IN-4(Long)-became IN-4 after 2002 redistricting
16)IN-8(McClosky)- Democrats won back seat in 2006.
17)IA-4(Smith)- became IA-5 after 2002 redistricting.
18)KS-2(Slattery)-went Democratic in 2006 but went back Republican in 2008
19)KS-4(Glickman)-
20)KY-1(Barlow)
21)ME-1(Andrews)-went back Democratic in 1996. Safe Democratic.
22)MI-8(Carr)- went Democratic in 1996- Republican in 2000-
23)MN-1(Penny)- went back Democratic in 2006
24)MS-1(Whitten)-went back Democratic in 2008 Special Election.
25)NE-2(Hoagland)-
26)NV-1(Bilbray)-went back Democratic in 1998- Safe Democratic.
27)NH-2(Swett)-went back Democratic in 2006-
28)NJ-2(Hughes)
29)NJ-8(Klien)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic
30)NY-1(Hochbruekner)-went back Democratic in 2002- Safe Democratic.
31)NC-2(Valentine)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic.
32)NC-3(Lancaster)
33)NC-4(Price)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic.
34)NC-5(Neal)
35)OH-1(Mann) went back Democratic in 2008
36)OH-6(Strickland) went back Democratic in 1996 Safe Democratic
37)OH-18(Applegate) went back Democratic in 2006
38)OH-19(Fingerhut) became OH-14 after 2002 redistricting.
39)OK-2(Synar)- went back Democratic in 2000. Safe Democratic
40)OK-4(McCurdy)
41)OR-5(Kopetski) went back Democratic in 1996. Safe Democratic.
42)PA-13(Mezinsky) went back Democratic in 1998 Safe Democratic.
43)SC-3(Derrick)
44)TN-3(Lloyd)
45)TN-4(Cooper) went back Democratic in 2002. Safe Democratic
46)TX-9(Brooks) now TX-2 after 2004 Redistricting.
47)TX-13(Sarpalius)
48)UT-2(Shephard) went back Democratic in 2000- Safe Democratic.
49)VA-11(Byrne)- went back Democratic in 2008- Safe Democratic.
50)WA-1(Cantwell) went back Democratic in 1998- Safe Democratic.
51)WA-2(Swift) went back Democratic in 2000- Safe Democratic
52)WA-3(Unsoeld) went back Democratic in 1998- Safe Democratic
53)WA-4(Inslee)
54)WA-5(Foley)
55)WA-9(Kriedler)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic.
56)WI-1(Barca)

US Senate.
1)AZ(Deconcini)-OPEN
2)ME(Mitchell)-OPEN
3)MI(Reigle)- OPEN went back Democratic in 2000
4)OH(Metzenbaum)-OPEN went back Democratic in 2006
5)OK(Boren) OPEN
6)PA-(Wofford)-went back Democratic in 2006
7)TN-(Sasser)
8)TN-(Matthews)-OPEN

Governor
1)AL(Folsom)- Democrats won back in 1998- went Republican in 2002-
2)ID(Andrus)- OPEN.
3)KS(Finney)-OPEN- Democrats won back in 2002.
4)NM(King)- Democrats won back in 2002
5)NY(Cuomo)- Democrats won back in 2006.
6)OK(Walters)- OPEN Democrats won back in 2002.
7)PA(Casey)-OPEN-Democrats won back in 2002.
8)RI(Sundlun)-
9)TN(McWherther)-OPEN-Democrats won back in 2002.
10)TX(Richards)-
11)WY(Sullivan)-OPEN-Democrats won back in 2002.

2010 Governors Races.
Republican Takeover.
KS
MI
OK
PA
TN
WY if Freudenthal steps down.

Democratic Takeover.
CA
HI
NV
RI

2010 US Senate Races.
Republican Takeover
CT-Dodd is the only Democratic incumbent likely to lose re-election.

Democratic Takeover
KY-Bunning loses to either Democratic candidate- (Mongiardo,Conway,or Chandler)
MO-(OPEN-Bond)- Senator elect- Robin Carnahan-D
NH-(OPEN-Gregg)-Senator elect- Paul Hodes-D
NC-Burr loses to Democratic candidate Roy Cooper-D
OH-(OPEN-Voinovich)- Democratic candidate(Lee Fisher or Jennifer Brunner)-favored to win.
PA-(If Specter loses in primary)-


2010 US House Races.
likely Republican pickups.
FL-8(Grayson-D)- lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
ID-1(Minnick-D)-only wins if GOP nominee is Bill Sali.
MD-1(Kravotil-D)-only wins if GOP nominee is Andy Harris.
MI-7(Schauer-D) lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
NJ-3(Adler-D) lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
NY-24(Arcuri-D)-lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
NY-29(Massa-D)-wins if Kuhl is GOP nominee-
OH-1(Driehaus-D)lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
OH-15(Kilroy-D)lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
PA-3(Dahlkemper-D)-lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
SD-if open.
TX-17(Edwards-D)-lose in 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
VA-2(Nye-D)lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
VA-5(Perrielli-D)-wins if Goode is GOP nominee.

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