California-(OPEN-Schwarzenneger-R)- The real race is in the Democratic primary. Whoever wins the Democratic primary- Lt Governor John Garamendi or Attorney General Jerry Brown is favored to win in the November General Election over Republican State Insurance Commisioner Steve Poizner.
Hawaii-(OPEN-Lingle-R)- whoever wins the Democratic Primary- US Rep Neil Ambercrombie or US Rep Mazie Hirono or ex US Rep Ed Case is favored to win in the November General Election or Lt Governor Duke Aiona.
Kansas-(OPEN-Sebelius-D)- Likely Republican Nominee US Senator Sam Brownback is the clear front runner in the November General Election.
Rhode Island-(OPEN-Carcieri-R)- The real race is in the Democratic Primary. Who ever wins the Democratic Primary Lt Governor Elizabeth Roberts or Attorney General Patrick Lynch is favored to win in the November General Election.
Nevada-(Gibbons-R)- will be the only Incumbent Governor to lose re-election
Narrow Incumbent Advantage
Clear Incumbent Advantage
Texas-(Perry-R)- vulnerable in the Republican Primary.
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