Comparing 2010 with 1994.

Democratic US House Seats that went Republican in 1994.
1)AZ-1(Coppersmith)- became AZ-6 after 2002 redistricting.
2)AZ-6(English) became AZ-5 after 2002 redistricting. Democrats won back seat in 2006.
3)CA-1(Hamburg) Democrats won back seat in 1998- Safe Democratic.
4)CA-19(Lehman)
5)CA-49(Schenk)became CA-53 after 2002 redistricting- Democrats won back seat in 2000- Safe Democratic.
6)FL-1(Hutto)
7)FL-15(Bacchus)
8)GA-7(Darden)-
9)GA-8(Rowland)- Democrats won back seat in 2002-
10)GA-10(Johnson)
11)ID-1(LaRocco)- Democrats won back seat in 2008 defeating a weak freshman Republican incumbent.
12)IL-5(Rostenkowski)- Democrats won back seat in 1996- held by Blagojevich,Emanuel,now Quigley-won yesterday.
13)IL-11(Sangmeister)-Democrats won back seat in 2008.
14)IN-2(Sharpe)- became IN-6 after 2002 redistricting.
15)IN-4(Long)-became IN-4 after 2002 redistricting
16)IN-8(McClosky)- Democrats won back seat in 2006.
17)IA-4(Smith)- became IA-5 after 2002 redistricting.
18)KS-2(Slattery)-went Democratic in 2006 but went back Republican in 2008
19)KS-4(Glickman)-
20)KY-1(Barlow)
21)ME-1(Andrews)-went back Democratic in 1996. Safe Democratic.
22)MI-8(Carr)- went Democratic in 1996- Republican in 2000-
23)MN-1(Penny)- went back Democratic in 2006
24)MS-1(Whitten)-went back Democratic in 2008 Special Election.
25)NE-2(Hoagland)-
26)NV-1(Bilbray)-went back Democratic in 1998- Safe Democratic.
27)NH-2(Swett)-went back Democratic in 2006-
28)NJ-2(Hughes)
29)NJ-8(Klien)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic
30)NY-1(Hochbruekner)-went back Democratic in 2002- Safe Democratic.
31)NC-2(Valentine)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic.
32)NC-3(Lancaster)
33)NC-4(Price)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic.
34)NC-5(Neal)
35)OH-1(Mann) went back Democratic in 2008
36)OH-6(Strickland) went back Democratic in 1996 Safe Democratic
37)OH-18(Applegate) went back Democratic in 2006
38)OH-19(Fingerhut) became OH-14 after 2002 redistricting.
39)OK-2(Synar)- went back Democratic in 2000. Safe Democratic
40)OK-4(McCurdy)
41)OR-5(Kopetski) went back Democratic in 1996. Safe Democratic.
42)PA-13(Mezinsky) went back Democratic in 1998 Safe Democratic.
43)SC-3(Derrick)
44)TN-3(Lloyd)
45)TN-4(Cooper) went back Democratic in 2002. Safe Democratic
46)TX-9(Brooks) now TX-2 after 2004 Redistricting.
47)TX-13(Sarpalius)
48)UT-2(Shephard) went back Democratic in 2000- Safe Democratic.
49)VA-11(Byrne)- went back Democratic in 2008- Safe Democratic.
50)WA-1(Cantwell) went back Democratic in 1998- Safe Democratic.
51)WA-2(Swift) went back Democratic in 2000- Safe Democratic
52)WA-3(Unsoeld) went back Democratic in 1998- Safe Democratic
53)WA-4(Inslee)
54)WA-5(Foley)
55)WA-9(Kriedler)-went back Democratic in 1996- Safe Democratic.
56)WI-1(Barca)

US Senate.
1)AZ(Deconcini)-OPEN
2)ME(Mitchell)-OPEN
3)MI(Reigle)- OPEN went back Democratic in 2000
4)OH(Metzenbaum)-OPEN went back Democratic in 2006
5)OK(Boren) OPEN
6)PA-(Wofford)-went back Democratic in 2006
7)TN-(Sasser)
8)TN-(Matthews)-OPEN

Governor
1)AL(Folsom)- Democrats won back in 1998- went Republican in 2002-
2)ID(Andrus)- OPEN.
3)KS(Finney)-OPEN- Democrats won back in 2002.
4)NM(King)- Democrats won back in 2002
5)NY(Cuomo)- Democrats won back in 2006.
6)OK(Walters)- OPEN Democrats won back in 2002.
7)PA(Casey)-OPEN-Democrats won back in 2002.
8)RI(Sundlun)-
9)TN(McWherther)-OPEN-Democrats won back in 2002.
10)TX(Richards)-
11)WY(Sullivan)-OPEN-Democrats won back in 2002.

2010 Governors Races.
Republican Takeover.
KS
MI
OK
PA
TN
WY if Freudenthal steps down.

Democratic Takeover.
CA
HI
NV
RI

2010 US Senate Races.
Republican Takeover
CT-Dodd is the only Democratic incumbent likely to lose re-election.

Democratic Takeover
KY-Bunning loses to either Democratic candidate- (Mongiardo,Conway,or Chandler)
MO-(OPEN-Bond)- Senator elect- Robin Carnahan-D
NH-(OPEN-Gregg)-Senator elect- Paul Hodes-D
NC-Burr loses to Democratic candidate Roy Cooper-D
OH-(OPEN-Voinovich)- Democratic candidate(Lee Fisher or Jennifer Brunner)-favored to win.
PA-(If Specter loses in primary)-


2010 US House Races.
likely Republican pickups.
FL-8(Grayson-D)- lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
ID-1(Minnick-D)-only wins if GOP nominee is Bill Sali.
MD-1(Kravotil-D)-only wins if GOP nominee is Andy Harris.
MI-7(Schauer-D) lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
NJ-3(Adler-D) lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
NY-24(Arcuri-D)-lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
NY-29(Massa-D)-wins if Kuhl is GOP nominee-
OH-1(Driehaus-D)lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
OH-15(Kilroy-D)lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
PA-3(Dahlkemper-D)-lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
SD-if open.
TX-17(Edwards-D)-lose in 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
VA-2(Nye-D)lose if 2010 becomes another 94 GOP revolution.
VA-5(Perrielli-D)-wins if Goode is GOP nominee.

2010 US Congressional Redistricting (Illinios)

Illinios- Democratic Controlled State House and Senate. Democratic Governor.
Illinios is losing 1 seat in the 2010 Apportionment. A Republican held District in Downstate IL either IL-15,IL-18,or IL-19 gets eliminated.

IL-1(Rush-D)- IL-1 loses the SW portion of Cook County to IL-13 but gains Eastern portion of Cook County from IL-3. The new IL-1 is 85-15 (Obama-D)
IL-2(Jackson-D)-IL-2 loses the SW portion of Cook County to IL-11 but gains Eastern portion of Will County from IL-11. The new IL-2 is 85-15 (Obama-D)
IL-3(Lipinski-D)-IL- 3 loses Eastern portion of Cook County to IL-1 but gains Eastern portion of DuPage County from IL-13. The new IL-3 is 61-39 (Obama-D)
IL-4(Guitterez-D)-IL-4 loses the Western portion of Cook County to IL-7 but gains the Inner Eastern portion of IL-7. The new IL-4 is 85-15 (Obama-D)
IL-5(Quigley-D)-IL-5 loses the Western portion of Cook County to IL-6 but gains the Outer Eastern portion of IL-7. The new IL-5 is 71-29(Obama-D)
IL-6(Roskam-R)-IL-6 loses SE portion of DuPage County to IL-7 but gains Western portion of Cook County from IL-5. The new IL-6 is 61-39 (Obama-D) (+1D)
IL-7(Davis-D)-IL-7 loses the Eastern portion of Cook County to IL-4/IL-5 but gains Western portion of Cook County from IL-4 and SE portion of DuPage from IL-6. The new IL-7 is 85-15 (Obama-D)
IL-8(Bean-D)-IL-8 loses McHenry County to IL-16 but gains DuPage County from IL-14. The new IL-8 58-42(Obama-D)
IL-9(Schakowsky-D)- IL-9 loses the NW portion of Cook County to IL-10. but gains Eastern Cook and SE portion of Lake County from IL-10. The new IL-9 is 67-33(Obama-D).
IL-10(Kirk-R)-IL-10 loses Eastern Cook/SE portion Lake to IL-9 but gains NW portion of Cook County from IL-9. The new IL-10 66-34(Obama-D). (+2D)
IL-11(Halverson-D)- IL -11 loses Eastern portion of Will County to IL-2 but gains SW portion fo Cook County from IL-2. The new IL-11 58-42(Obama-D)
IL-12(Costello-D)- IL-12 absorbs the Western portion of IL-19. The new IL-12 is 54-46 (Obama-D)
IL-13(Biggert-R)- IL-13 loses Eastern DuPage to IL-3 but gains SW portion of Cook County from IL-1. The new IL-13 is 59-41(Obama-D) (+3D)
IL-14(Foster-D)- The IL-14 loses DuPage to IL-8 but gains DeKalb County from IL-16. The new IL-14 is 58-42(Obama-D)
IL-15(Johnson-R vs Shimkus-R)-IL-15 loses SW portion of its base to IL-18. but gains Eastern portion of IL-19. The new IL-15 is 45-55(McCain-R).
IL-16(Manzullo-R)-loses DeKalb to IL-14 but gains McHenry from IL-8. The new IL-16 is 48-52 (McCain-R).
IL-17(Hare-D)-absorbs the Northern portion of IL-19. The new IL-17 is 56-44 (Obama-D)
IL-18(Schock-R)-absorbs the SW portion of IL-15. The new IL-18 is 46-54 (McCain-R)

2010 Governors Election rating.

AL(OPEN-Riley-R)- Tossup.
AK(Palin-R)-Safe Republican.
AZ(Brewer-R)-Tossup.
AR(Beebe-D)-Safe Democratic.
CA(OPEN-Schwarzenneger-R)-Leans Democratic (Gov Elect Jerry Brown-D)
CO(Ritter-D)-Safe Democratic.
CT(Rell-R)-Republican Favored.
FL(Crist-R)-Safe Republican.
GA(OPEN-Perdue-R)-Leans Republican.
HI(OPEN-Lingle-R)-Leans Democratic (Gov Elect Neil Ambercrombie-D)
ID(Otter-R)-Safe Republican.
IL(Quinn-D)-Safe Democratic.
IA(Culver-D)-Safe Democratic.
KS(OPEN-Sebelius-R)-Republican Favored. (Gov Elect Sam Brownback-R)
ME(OPEN-Baldacci-D)-Leans Democratic (Gov Elect Stephen Rowe-D)
MD(O'Malley-D)-Safe Democratic.
MA(Patrick-D)-Safe Democratic.
MI(OPEN-Granholm-D)-Tossup.
MN(Pawlenty-R)-Tossup
NE(Heineman-R)-Safe Republican
NV(Gibbons-R)-Tossup
NH(Lynch-D)-Safe Democratic
NJ(Corzine-D)-Tossup
NM(OPEN-Richardson-D)-Democratic Favored (Gov Elect Diane Denish-D)
NY(Paterson-D)- Leans Democratic (Gov Elect Andrew Cuomo-D)
OH(Strickland-D)-Safe Democratic.
OK(OPEN-Henry-D)-Tossup
OR(OPEN-Kulongoski-D)-Leans Democratic (Gov Elect John Kitzhaber-D)
PA(OPEN-Rendell-D)-Tossup
RI(OPEN-Carcieri-R)-Democratic Favored (Gov Elect Patrick Lynch or David Cicilline-D)
SC(OPEN-Sanford-R)-Republican Favored (Gov Elect Gresham Barrett-R)
SD(OPEN-Rounds-R)-Safe Republican if Stephanie Herseth Sandlin-D does not run. Tossup if Herseth Sandlin runs.
TN(OPEN-Bredesen-D)-Leans Republican (Gov Elect Zack Wamp-R)
TX(Perry-R)-Safe Republican (Gov Elect Kay Bailey Hutchison-R)
VT(Douglas-R)-Republican Favored.
VA(OPEN-Kaine-D)-Tossup
WI(Doyle-D)-Democratic Favored.
WY(Freudenthal-D)-Dem Favored if Freudenthal runs. Rep Favored if Freudenthal does not run.

2010 US Senate Election Rating revised.

AL(Shelby-R)-Safe Republican.
AK(Murkowski-R)-Safe Republican.
AZ(McCain-R)-Safe Republican.
AR(Lincoln-D)-Safe Democratic.
CA(Boxer-D)-Safe Democratic
CO(Bennett-D)-Democratic Favored.
CT(Dodd-D)-Democratic Favored.
DE(OPEN-Kaufman-D)-Safe Democratic(Sen elect Beau Biden-D)
FL(OPEN-Martinez-R)- Tossup.
GA(Isakson-R)-Safe Republican
HI(Inouye-D)-Safe Democratic
ID(Crapo-R)-Safe Republican.
IL(OPEN-Burris-D)- Leans Democratic(Sen elect Alexi Giannoulous or Bill Daley -D).
IN(Bayh-D)-Safe Democratic.
IA(Grassley-R)-Safe Republican
KS(OPEN-Brownback-R)- Safe Republican(Sen elect Jerry Moran-R)
KY(Bunning-R)- Leans Democratic (Sen elect Dan Mongiordo or Jack Conway-D)
LA(Vitter-R)-Leans Republican.
MD(Mikulski-D)-Safe Democratic.
MO(OPEN-Bond-R)- Democratic Favored (Sen elect Robin Carnahan-D)
NV(Reid-D)-Democratic Favored.
NH(OPEN-Gregg-R)- Democratic Favored (Sen elect Paul Hodes-D)
NY(Schumer-D)-Safe Democratic
NY(Gillibrand-D)-Leans Democratic.
NC(Burr-R)- Tossup
ND(Dorgan-D)-Safe Democratic.
OH(OPEN-Voinovich-R)-Leans Democratic(Sen elect Lee Fisher or Jennifer Brunner-D)
OK(Coburn-R)-Safe Republican
OR(Wyden-D)-Safe Democratic
PA(Specter-R)-Tossup.
SC(DeMint-R)-Safe Republican.
SD(Thune-R)-Safe Republican
TX(OPEN-Hutchison-R)-Leans Republican (Sen elect Dave Dewhurst-R)
UT(Bennett-R)-Safe Republican.
VT(Leahy-D)-Safe Democratic.
WA(Murray-D)-Safe Democratic.
WI(Feingold-D)-Safe Democratic.

2009/2010 Governors Race.

Likely Takeover
California-(OPEN-Schwarzenneger-R)- The real race is in the Democratic primary. Whoever wins the Democratic primary- Lt Governor John Garamendi or Attorney General Jerry Brown is favored to win in the November General Election over Republican State Insurance Commisioner Steve Poizner.

Hawaii-(OPEN-Lingle-R)- whoever wins the Democratic Primary- US Rep Neil Ambercrombie or US Rep Mazie Hirono or ex US Rep Ed Case is favored to win in the November General Election or Lt Governor Duke Aiona.

Kansas-(OPEN-Sebelius-D)- Likely Republican Nominee US Senator Sam Brownback is the clear front runner in the November General Election.

Rhode Island-(OPEN-Carcieri-R)- The real race is in the Democratic Primary. Who ever wins the Democratic Primary Lt Governor Elizabeth Roberts or Attorney General Patrick Lynch is favored to win in the November General Election.

Wyoming-(OPEN-Freudenthal-R)

Lean Takeover
Nevada-(Gibbons-R)- will be the only Incumbent Governor to lose re-election

Tossup
Alabama-(OPEN-Riley-R)
Arizona-(Brewer-R)
Georgia-(OPEN-Perdue-R)
Minnesota-(Pawlenty-R)
Oklahoma-(Henry-D)
South Dakota-(OPEN-Rounds-R)
Tennessee- (OPEN-Bredensen-R)
Virginia-(OPEN-Kaine-D)

Narrow Incumbent Advantage
Connecticut-(Rell-R)
Maine-(OPEN-Baldacci-D)
Michigan-(OPEN-Granholm-D)
New Jersey-(Corzine-D)
New Mexico-(OPEN-Richardson-D)
Oregon-(OPEN-Kulongoski-D)
Pennsylvania-(OPEN-Rendell-D)
South Carolina-(OPEN-Sanford-R)
Vermont-(Douglas-R)

Clear Incumbent Advantage
Florida-(Crist-R)
Illinios-(Quinn-D)
Maryland-(O'Malley-D)
Massachusetts-(Patrick-D)
New York-(Paterson-D)
Texas-(Perry-R)- vulnerable in the Republican Primary.


Safe
Alaska-(Palin-R)
Arkansas(Beebe-D)
Colorado-(Ritter-D)
Idaho-(Otter-R)
Nebraska-(Heineman-R)
New Hampshire-(Lynch-D)
Ohio-(Strickland-D)

2010 US Senate Races revised.

Likely Takeover
Missouri(OPEN-Bond-R)-Likely Democratic nominee Robin Carnahan is the clear front runner in the November General Election.
New Hampshire(OPEN- Newman-R)- Likely Democratic nominee Paul Hodes is the clear front runner in the November General Election.

Lean Takeover
Ohio-(OPEN-Voinovich-R)-Either Democratic candidates Lee Fisher or Tim Ryan is favored to defeat Likely Republican nominee Bob Portman.

Tossup
Florida-(OPEN-Martinez-R)- It depends on whether or not Republican Governor Charlie Crist decides to run. If Crist runs- It is a Safe Republican/Clear Incumbent Advantage. If Crist does not run. It stays a a tossup.
Kentucky-(Bunning-R)- Bunning(R) is likely to lose to Democratic Nominee Lt Governor Dan Mongiorado.
North Carolina-(Burr-R)- This is a curse seat. Burr is likely to lose to likely Democratic candidate Attorney General Roy Cooper.

Narrow Incumbent Advantage.
Pennsylvania-(Specter-R)- Specter has avoided a tough primary challenge but will face a tough general election campaign against US Rep Allyson Schwartz.

Clear Incumbent Advantage
Arizona-(McCain-R)- facing a tough primary challenge.
Colorado-(Bennett-D)- running for a first full term. Republicans will nominate former Statewide losers ex US Rep Bob Schaffer or Bob Beauprez.

Illinios- (Burris-D)- Burris is likely to lose in the Democratic primary to either State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulous or US Rep Jan Schakowsky. Who ever wins the Democratic Primary is favored to win in the November General Election.

Kansas(OPEN-Brownback-R)- It depends on Governor Kathleen Sebelius. If Sebelius runs- The race moves to a tossup. Otherwise the Likely Republican nominee Jerry Moran is the clear front runner in the November General Election.

Louisiana- (Vitter-R)- Vitter is vulnerable but the Louisana Democratic Party is weak.

Nevada-(Reid-D)- Reid is vulnerable but the Nevada Republican party is weak.

New York-(Gillibrand-D)- Gillibrand is strongly favored to defeat likely Republican nominee Peter King.-R.

Safe Incumbent
Alabama(Shelby-R)
Alaska(Murkowksi-R)-the real battle in the GOP primary. Murkowski can lose in the GOP primary to Governor Sarah Palin.
Arkansas(Lincoln-D)
California-(Boxer-D)
Connecticut-(Dodd-D)
Delaware-(OPEN-Kaufman-D)- Likely Democratic Nominee Beau Biden is the clear front runner in the November General Election.
Georgia-(Isakson-R)
Hawaii-(Inouye-D)
Idaho-(Crapo-R)
Indiana-(Bayh-D)
Iowa-(Grassley-R)
Maryland-(Mikulski-D)
North Dakota-(Dorgan-D)
Oklahoma-(Coburn-R)- vulnerable if Governor Brad Henry runs. otherwise Safe.
Oregon-(Wyden-D)
South Carolina-(DeMint-R)
South Dakota-(Thune-R)
Utah-(Bennett-R)
Vermont-(Leahy-D)
Washington-(Murray-D)
Wisconsin-(Feingold-D)

2010 US Senate Races.

Alabama- (Shelby-R)- Safe Republican. Competitive but Republican favored if open.
Alaska- (Murkowski-R)- The real battle is in the Republican side between Governor Sarah Palin vs US Senator Lisa Murkowski. (Safe Republican)
Arizona- (McCain-R)- McCain-R is likely to face a primary challenge from Anti Immigration former Congressman JD Hayworth. If McCain wins the primary- Republican Favored. If McCain loses or open seat. (Leans Democratic Takeover).
Arkansas-(Lincoln-D)- Safe Democratic. Republican's failed to recruit a challenger against Arkansas's other Democratic Senator Mark Pryor- It is unlikely a top tier Republican challenger will emerge against Lincoln in 2010.
California-(Boxer-D)-Safe Democratic. Boxer beat her last Republican opponent former CA Secretary of State Bill Jones by a 20% margin in 2004.
Colorado-(Bennett-D)-Democratic Favored. appointed US Senator Michael Bennett-D is running for a first full term in 2010. Republicans are stuck with former US Congressman Bob Beauprez who lost badly in the 2006 CO Governors Race-
Connecticut-(Dodd-D)-Safe Democratic.
Delaware-(OPEN-Kaufman-D)- Safe Democratic. Say Hello to US Senator Beau Biden.
Florida- (OPEN-Martinez-R)-Tossup. Democratic Nominee is either US Rep Kendrick Meek or State Sen/former State House Minority Leader Dan Gelber- Both from Miami Dade County. Republican Nominee is Conservative US Reps Vern Buchanan or Connie Mack Jr.
Georgia- (Isakson-R)-Safe Republican.
Hawaii- (Inouye-D)-Safe Democratic.
Idaho-(Crapo-R)-Safe Republican
Illinios-(Burris-D) Democratic Favored. appointed US Senator Roland Burris will face a tough primary challenge from either Attorney General Lisa Madigan, Comptroller Dan Hynes, Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, or US Representative Jan Schakowsky. Based on Roland Burris record of losing Democratic primaries during the last 3 Governor's race. Burris will lose the Democratic Nomination. whoever wins the Democratic nomination is favored to win in the November General Election over likely Republican nominee US Rep Mark Kirk.
Indiana-(Bayh-D)-Safe Democratic
Iowa-(Grassley-R)-Safe Republican if Grassley runs again. Likely Democratic pick up if open.
Kansas-(OPEN-Brownback-R)-Tossup if Governor Kathleen Sebelius runs. Republican Favored if Sebelius does not run.
Kentucky (Bunning-R)- Lean Democratic Takeover if Bunning runs again. If Bunning retires-Tossup. Democratic candidate is Lt Governor Dan Mongiordo or Attorney General Jack Conway.
Louisiana-(Vitter-R)- Leans Republican. Potential Democratic candidates is Lt Governor Mitch Landreiu or Attorney General James Caldwell.
Maryland-(Mikulski-D)-Safe Democratic.
Missouri-(OPEN-Bond-R)- Democrats are waiting for Robin Carnahan to announce- Lean Democratic takeover.
Nevada-(Reid-D)- Democratic Favored. Republican's don't have a top tier candidate to Daschlize Harry Reid.
New Hampshire-(who ever replaces Judd Gregg-R). Likely Democratic Takeover. Democratic Nominee US Rep Paul Hodes.
New York-A (Schumer-D)-Safe Democratic.
New York-B (Gillibrand-D)-Democratic Favored- Likely Republican Nominee is Conservative LI US Rep Peter King.
North Carolina-(Burr-R)- Tossup. this is a cursed seat. Democratic Nominee is Attorney General Roy Cooper.
North Dakota-(Dorgan-D)-Safe Democratic.
Ohio- (OPEN-Voinovich-R)- Leans Democratic Takeover. Democratic candidates US Rep Tim Ryan or Lt Governor Lee Fisher is favored to defeat ex US Rep/US Trade Rep/OMB Director Rob Portman.
Oklahoma-(Coburn-R)- Safe Republican. Competitive if Governor Brad Henry.
Oregon-(Wyden-D)-Safe Democratic.
Pennsylvania-(Specter-R)- Leans Republican- Likely Democratic challenger US Rep Allyson Schwartz. If Specter retires- Democratic pickup.
South Carolina-(DeMint-R)-Safe Republican
South Dakota-(Thune-R)-Safe Republican
Utah-(Bennett-R)-Safe Republican
Vermont-(Leahy-D)-Safe Democratic
Washington-(Murray-D)-Safe Democratic
Wisconsin-(Feingold-D)-Safe Democratic.

2010 US House Election Rating (Tossup)

Alabama
AL-2 (Bright-D)

Idaho
ID-1 (Minnick-D)

Louisiana
LA-2 (Cao-R)

Maryland
MD-1 (Kravitol-D)

New York
NY-29 (Massa-D)

Ohio
OH-15 (Kilroy-D)

Virginia
VA-5 (Perriello-D)

2010 US House Election Rating (Narrow Incumbent Advantage)

Alabama
AL-5 (Griffith-D)

California
CA-4 (McClintock-R)
CA-44 (Calvert-R)

Connecticut
CT-4 (Himes-D)

Florida
FL-8 (Grayson-D)

Kansas
KS-2 (Jenkins-R)

Louisiana
LA-4 (Fleming-R)

Michigan
MI-7 (Schauer-D)

Minnesota
MN-6 (Bachmann-R)

Missouri
MO-9 (Luetkemeyer-R)

Nebraska
NE-2 (Terry-R)

New Jersey
NJ-3 (Adler-D)

New York
NY-24 (Arcuri-D)

Ohio
OH-1 (Dreihaus-D)

Pennsylvania
PA-3 (Dahlkemper-D)
PA-6 (Gerlach-R)
PA-11 (Kanjorski-D)

South Carolina
SC-1 (Brown-R)

Virginia
VA-2 (Nye-D)

2010 US House Election Rating (Clear Incumbent Advantage)

Alabama
AL-3 (Rogers-R)

Alaska
AK -1 (Young-R)

Arizona
AZ-5 (Mitchell-D)

California
CA-3 (Lungren-R)
CA-46 (Rohrabacher-R)
CA-50 (Bilbray-R)

Florida
FL-22 (Klein-D)
FL-24 (M. Diaz Balart-R)

Illinois
IL-10 (Kirk-R)
IL-13 (Biggert-R)

Kentucky
KY-2 (Guthrie-R)

Louisiana
LA-6 (Cassidy-R)

Maine
ME-1 (Pingree-D)

Michigan
MI-9 (Peters-D)
MI-11 (McCotter-R)

Minnesota
MN-3 (Paulsen-R)

Nevada
NV-3 (Titus-D)

New Hampshire
NH-1 (Shea Porter-D)

New Jersey
NJ-7 (Lance-R)

Ohio
OH-2 (Schmidt-R)

South Carolina
SC-2 (Wilson-R)

Texas
TX-17 (Edwards-D)
TX-22 (Olson-R)

Washington
WA-8 (Reichert-R)

Wisconsin
WI-8 (Kagan-D)

Wyoming
WY-1 (Lummis-R)

2010 US House Election Rating. (Safe Incumbents)

Alabama-
AL-1 (Bonner-R)
AL-4 (Alderholt-R)
AL-6 (Bachus-R)
AL-7 (Davis-D)

Arizona
AZ-1 (Kirkpatrick-D)
AZ-2 (Franks-R)
AZ-3 (Shadegg-R)
AZ-4 (Pastor-D)
AZ-6 (Flake-R)
AZ-7 (Grijalva-D)
AZ-8 (Giffords-D)

Arkansas
AR-1 (Berry-D)
AR-2 (Snyder-D)
AR-3 (Boozman-R)
AR-4 (Ross-D)

California
CA-1 (Thompson-D)
CA-2 (Herger-R)
CA-5 (Matsui-D)
CA-6 (Woosley-D)
CA-7 (Miller-D)
CA-8 (Pelosi-D)
CA-9 (Lee-D)
CA-10 (Tauscher-D)
CA-11 (McNerney-D)
CA-12 (Speier-D)
CA-13 (Stark-D)
CA-14 (Eschoo-D)
CA-15 (Honda-D)
CA-16 (Lofgren-D)
CA-17 (Farr-D)
CA-18 (Cardoza-D)
CA-19 (Radanovich-R)
CA-20 (Costa-D)
CA-21 (Nunes-R)
CA-22 (McCarthy-R)
CA-23 (Capps-D)
CA-24 (Gallegly-R)
CA-25 (McKeon-R)
CA-26 (Dreier-R)
CA-27 (Sherman-D)
CA-28 (Berman-D)
CA-29 (Schiff-D)
CA-30 (Waxman-D)
CA-31 (Beccara-D)
CA-32 (OPEN-D)
CA-33 (Watson-D)
CA-34 (Roybal-Allard-D)
CA-35 (Waters-D)
CA-36 (Harman-D)
CA-37 (Richardson-D)
CA-38 (Napalitano-D)
CA-39 (Sanchez-D)
CA-40 (Royce-R)
CA-41 (Lewis-R)
CA-42 (Miller-R)
CA-43 (Baca-D)
CA-45 (Bono Mack-R)
CA-47 (Sanchez-D)
CA-48 (Campbell-R)
CA-49 (Issa-R)
CA-51 (Filner-D)
CA-52 (Hunter-R)
CA-53 (Davis-D)

Colorado
CO-1 (DeGette-D)
CO-2 (Polis-D)
CO-3 (Salazar-D)
CO-4 (Markey-D)
CO-5 (Lamborn-R)
CO-6 (Coffman-R)
CO-7 (Perlmutter-D)

Connecticut
CT-1 (Larson-D)
CT-2 (Courtney-D)
CT-3 (DeLauro-D)
CT-5 (Murphy-D)

Delaware
DE-1 (Castle-R)

Florida
FL-1 (Miller-R)
FL-2 (Boyd-D)
FL-3 (Brown-D)
FL-4 (Crenshaw-R)
FL-5 (Brown Waite-R)
FL-6 (Stearns-R)
FL-7 (Mica-R)
FL-9 (Bilirakas-R)
FL-10 (Young-R)
FL-11 (Castor-D)
FL-12 (Putnam-R)
FL-13 (Buchanan-R)
FL-14 (Mack-R)
FL-15 (Posey-R)
FL-16 (Rooney-R)
FL-17 (OPEN-D)
FL-18 (Ros Lehtinen-R)
FL-19 (Wexler-D)
FL-20 (Wasserman Schultz-D)
FL-21 (L. Diaz Balart-R)
FL-23 (Hastings-D)
FL-24 (Kosmas-D)

Georgia
GA-1 (Kingston-R)
GA-2 (Bishop-D)
GA-3 (Westmoreland-R)
GA-4 (Johnson-D)
GA-5 (Lewis-D)
GA-6 (Price-R)
GA-7 (Linder-R)
GA-8 (Marshall-D)
GA-9 (Deal-R)
GA-10 (Broun-R)
GA-11 (Gingrey-R)
GA-12 (Barrow-D)
GA-13 (Scott-D)

Hawaii
HI-1 (Abercrombie-D)
HI-2 (Hirono-D)

Idaho
ID-2 (Simpson-R)

Illinois
IL-1 (Rush-D)
IL-2 (Jackson-D)
IL-3 (Lipinski-D)
IL-4 (Guiterrez-D)
IL-5 (OPEN-D)
IL-6 (Roskam-R)
IL-7 (Davis-D)
IL-8 (Bean-D)
IL-9 (Schakowsky-D)
IL-11 (Halverson-D)
IL-12 (Costello-D)
IL-14 (Foster-D)
IL-15 (Johnson-R)
IL-16 (Manzullo-R)
IL-17 (Hare-D)
IL-18 (Schrock-R)
IL-19 (Shimkus-R)

Indiana
IN-1 (Visclosky-D)
IN-2 (Donnelly-D)
IN-3 (Souder-R)
IN-4 (Buyer-R)
IN-5 (Burton-R)
IN-6 (Pence-R)
IN-7 (Carson-D)
IN-8 (Ellsworth-D)
IN-9 (Hill-D)

Iowa
IA-1 (Braley-D)
IA-2 (Loesback-D)
IA-3 (Boswell-D)
IA-4 (Latham-R)
IA-5 (King-R)

Kansas
KS-1 (OPEN-R)
KS-3 (Moore-D)
KS-4 (Tiahrt-R)

Kentucky
KY-1 (Whitfield-R)
KY-3 (Yarmuth-D)
KY-4 (Davis-R)
KY-5 (Rogers-R)
KY-6 (Chandler-D)

Louisiana
LA-1 (Scalise-R)
LA-3 (Melancon-D)
LA-5 (Alexander-R)
LA-7 (Boustany-R)

Maine
ME-2 (Michaud-D)

Maryland
MD-2 (Ruppersberger-D)
MD-3 (Sarbanes-D)
MD-4 (Edwards-D)
MD-5 (Hoyer-D)
MD-6 (Bartlett-R)
MD-7 (Cummings-D)
MD-8 (Van Hollen-D)

Massachusetts
MA-1 (Olver-D)
MA-2 (Neal-D)
MA-3 (McGovern-D)
MA-4 (Frank-D)
MA-5 (Tsongas-D)
MA-6 (Tierney-D)
MA-7 (Markey-D)
MA-8 (Capuano-D)
MA-9 (Lynch-D)
MA-10 (Delahunt-D)

Michigan
MI-1 (Stupak-D)
MI-2 (OPEN-R)
MI-3 (Ehlers-R)
MI-4 (Camp-R)
MI-5 (Kildee-D)
MI-6 (Upton-R)
MI-8 (Rogers-R)
MI-10 (Miller-R)
MI-12 (Levin-D)
MI-13 (Kilpatrick-D)
MI-14 (Conyers-D)
MI-15 (Dingell-D)

Minnesota
MN-1 (Walz-D)
MN-2 (Kline-R)
MN-4 (McCollum-D)
MN-5 (Ellison-D)
MN-7 (Peterson-D)
MN-8 (Luther-D)

Mississippi
MS-1 (Childers-D)
MS-2 (Thompson-D)
MS-3 (Harper-R)
MS-4 (Taylor-D)

Missouri
MO-1 (Clay-D)
MO-2 (Akin-R)
MO-3 (Carnahan-D)
MO-4 (Skelton-D)
MO-5 (Cleaver-D)
MO-6 (Graves-R)
MO-7 (Blunt-R)
MO-8 (Emerson-R)

Montana
MT-1 (Rehberg-R)

Nebraska
NE-1 (Fortenberry-R)
NE-3 (Smith-R)

Nevada
NV-1 (Berkley-D)
NV-2 (Heller-R)

New Hampshire
NH-2 (Hodes-D)

New Jersey
NJ-1 (Andrews-D)
NJ-2 (LoBiondo-D)
NJ-4 (Smith-R)
NJ-5 (Garrett-R)
NJ-6 (Pallone-D)
NJ-8 (Pascrell-D)
NJ-9 (Rothman-D)
NJ-10 (Payne-D)
NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen-R)
NJ-12 (Holt-D)
NJ-13 (Sires-D)

New Mexico
NM-1 (Heinrich-D)
NM-2 (Teague-D)
NM-3 (Lujan-D)

New York
NY-1 (Bishop-D)
NY-2 (Israel-D)
NY-3 (King-R)
NY-4 (McCarthy-D)
NY-5 (Ackerman-D)
NY-6 (Meeks-D)
NY-7 (Crowley-D)
NY-8 (Nadler-D)
NY-9 (Weiner-D)
NY-10 (Towns-D)
NY-11 (Clarke-D)
NY-12 (Valazquez-D)
NY-13 (McMahon-D)
NY-14 (Maloney-D)
NY-15 (Rangel-D)
NY-16 (Serrano-D)
NY-17 (Engel-D)
NY-18 (Lowey-D)
NY-19 (Hall-D)
NY-20 (Gillibrand-D)
NY-21 (Tonko-D)
NY-22 (Hinchey-D)
NY-23 (McHugh-R)
NY-25 (Maffei-D)
NY-26 (Lee-R)
NY-27 (Higgins-D)
NY-28 (Slaughter-D)

North Carolina
NC-1 (Butterfield-D)
NC-2 (Ethridge-D)
NC-3 (Jones-R)
NC-4 (Price-D)
NC-5 (Foxx-R)
NC-6 (Coble-R)
NC-7 (McIntyre-D)
NC-8 (Kissell-D)
NC-9 (Myrick-R)
NC-10 (McHenry-R)
NC-11 (Shuler-D)
NC-12 (Watt-D)
NC-13 (Miller-D)

North Dakota
ND-1 (Pomeroy-D)

Ohio
OH-3 (Turner-R)
OH-4 (Jordan-R)
OH-5 (Latta-R)
OH-6 (Wilson-D)
OH-7 (Austria-R)
OH-8 (Boehner-R)
OH-9 (Kaptur-D)
OH-10 (Kucinich-D)
OH-11 (Fudge-D)
OH-12 (Tiberi-R)
OH-13 (Sutton-D)
OH-14 (LaTourette-R)
OH-16 (Boccieri-D)
OH-17 (Ryan-D)
OH-18 (Space-D)

Oklahoma
OK-1 (Sullivan-R)
OK-2 (Boren-D)
OK-3 (Lucas-R)
OK-4 (Cole-R)
OK-5 (Fallin-R)

Oregon
OR-1 (Wu-D)
OR-2 (Walden-R)
OR-3 (Bluemanuer-D)
OR-4 (DeFazio-D)
OR-5 (Schrader-D)

Pennsylvania
PA-1 (Brady-D)
PA-2 (Fattah-D)
PA-4 (Altmire-D)
PA-5 (Thompson-R)
PA-7 (Sestak-D)
PA-8 (Murphy-D)
PA-9 (Shuster-R)
PA-10 (Carney-D)
PA-12 (Murtha-D)
PA-13 (Schwartz-D)
PA-14 (Doyle-D)
PA-15 (Dent-R)
PA-16 (Pitts-R)
PA-17 (Holden-D)
PA-18 (Murphy-R)
PA-19 (Platts-R)

Rhode Island
RI-1 (Kennedy-D)
RI-2 (Langevin-D)

South Carolina
SC-3 (Barrett-R)
SC-4 (Inglis-R)
SC-5 (Spratt-D)
SC-6 (Clyburn-D)

South Dakota
SD-1 (Herseth Sandlin-D)

Tennessee
TN-1 (Roe-R)
TN-2 (Duncan-R)
TN-3 (OPEN-R)
TN-4 (Davis-D)
TN-5 (Cooper-D)
TN-6 (Gordon-D)
TN-7 (Blackburn-R)
TN-8 (Tanner-D)
TN-9 (Cohen-D)

Texas
TX-1 (Gohmert-R)
TX-2 (Poe-R)
TX-3 (Johnson-R)
TX-4 (Hall-R)
TX-5 (Hensarling-R)
TX-6 (Barton-R)
TX-7 (Culberson-R)
TX-8 (Brady-R)
TX-9 (Green-D)
TX-10 (McCaul-R)
TX-11 (Conway-R)
TX-12 (Granger-R)
TX-13 (Thornberry-R)
TX-14 (Paul-R)
TX-15 (Hinojosa-D)
TX-16 (Reyes-D)
TX-18 (Jackson Lee-D)
TX-19 (Neugabaur-R)
TX-20 (Gonzalez-D)
TX-21 (Smith-R)
TX-23 (Rodriguez-D)
TX-24 (Marchant-R)
TX-25 (Doggett-D)
TX-26 (Burgess-R)
TX-27 (Ortiz-D)
TX-28 (Cueller-D)
TX-29 (Green-D)
TX-30 (Johnson-D)
TX-31 (Carter-R)
TX-32 (Sessions-R)

Utah
UT-1 (Bishop-R)
UT-2 (Matheson-D)
UT-3 (Chaffetz-R)

Vermont
VT-1 (Welch-D)

Virginia
VA-1 (Wittman-R)
VA-3 (Scott-D)
VA-4 (Forbes-R)
VA-6 (Goodlatte-R)
VA-7 (Cantor-R)
VA-8 (Moran-D)
VA-9 (Boucher-D)
VA-10 (Wolf-R)
VA-11 (Connelly-D)

Washington
WA-1 (Inslee-D)
WA-2 (Larsen-D)
WA-3 (Baird-D)
WA-4 (Hastings-R)
WA-5 (McMorris Rogers-R)
WA-6 (Dicks-D)
WA-7 (McDermott-D)
WA-9 (Smith-D)

West Virginia
WV-1 (Mollahan-D)
WV-2 (Moore Capito-R)
WV-3 (Rahall-D)

Wisconsin
WI-1 (Ryan-R)
WI-2 (Baldwin-D)
WI-3 (Kind-D)
WI-4 (Moore-D)
WI-5 (Sensenbrener-R)
WI-6 (Petri-R)
WI-7 (Obey-D)